OSCAR FORECAST: Best Supporting Actress 2013

Best Supporting Actress Predictions (10-12-12):
Amy Adams, The Master
Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises (or Les Misérables)
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Sally Field, Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress Notes: If I had my way, Nicole Kidman and Macy Gray would both be nominated for their performances in The Paperboy. I’m yet to see those levels of commitment to material that’s challenging for subject matter and tone. I’m hard-pressed to believe there will be better Supporting performances to come along this year, but, alas neither of them will get nominated for Best Supporting Actress. Similarly, Anne Hathaway may give a far more epic performance in Les Mis, but I secretly pray that she might get nominated for The Dark Knight Rises. I didn’t like the movie all that much, however, Hathaway’s portrayal of Catwoman popped off the screen, adding another dimension to the sex appeal provided by an equally stunning performance by Michelle Pfeiffer. As the fields start to narrow, it’s becoming clearer that Hathaway too has little chance to get in for that role.

So what will get nominated? The easy bets right now are Sally Field for Lincoln, Helen Hunt for The Sessions, and Amy Adams for The Master. I haven’t seen the first two, so I can only comment on Adams, who was quietly terrifying in Paul Thomas Anderson’s movie. The question remains as to whether Hollywood types have fully taken to the challenging film. If so, Adams will probably trickle in. There’s a chance that she might actually win this thing. She’s gotten a lot of love and proven that she’s solid in many kinds of roles. I have a suspicion that this category might syphon out in her direction. Hunt and Field already have Oscars, so their presences might be more of a ‘where have you been?’ nod in a pretty thin category.

Maggie Smith and Frances McDormand are also past winners, so like the Best Supporting Actor category, this one is shaping up to be a battle of old Hollywood elites. McDormand may well pop up as her brand of comfortable quirk always plays well, especially in quietly topical roles like the one she plays in Promised Land. Lots of talk about Maggie Smith in Best Exotic Marigold Hotel. I suspect if she gets in it will be more because of a weak category than specific love for her performance.

For now, I’m going to keep Hathaway for The Dark Knight Rises, though I anticipate her Les Mis turn is more likely. I also have a gut feeling about Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty. We don’t much about the movie, but word is that the script is pretty solid. With a meaty role, Chastain has proven she can excel. Perhaps out of stubbornness, because I think some of these other performances are boring, I will hang my hat on Chastain also.

Safe Bets:
Sally Field, Lincoln
Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Strong Possibilities:
Amy Adams, The Master
Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Salma Hayek, Savages
Frances McDormand, Promised Land

Unlikely:
Macy Gray, The Paperboy
Pauline Collins, Quartet

Long Shots:
Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy
Ann Dowd, Compliance

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One Response to OSCAR FORECAST: Best Supporting Actress 2013

  1. LOVE888 says:

    I wanna see Nicole nominated! Please AMPAS!

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